The Plunge’s Black Book: Horses Running At Randwick 23/1
5 years ago - Sportingbase
A huge return for subscribers last weekend where we went 3 from 3, topped off with Aim’s win in the Magic Millions, which was $51 when tipped on Friday afternoon. Hopefully the trim up to $31 was partially due to some of our followers getting a decent chunk. The overall profit on the day was a whopping 37.1 units.
We focus solely on Randwick this weekend where I have found an exciting 2yo, a boom horse shooting for 3 in a row that we have been on throughout his preparation and a front-runner way over the odds in the feature race of the day.
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Randwick Race 1 – 8 Ashema
Ashema caught my eye at the trials when she was forced to work early from a wide gate, something she will need to contend with on Saturday. Berry eventually found the front and when he gave her a shake at the top of the straight she let down strongly to win by 1.3L in what was an extremely quick time in comparison to other trials on the morning.
She demonstrated she was above average in her only other run finishing 2nd in the Inglis Nursery. A lot of the risk we are taking is with the 19 barrier but I’m confident she has the gate speed along with the class of Tommy Berry to overcome that.
Tip: 2 Units Win Ashema@ $3.9 With TopSport
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Randwick Race 8- 6 Cradle Mountain
Cradle Mountain represents terrific value in the Carrington Stakes at $21. The 7yo gelding showed he had returned to work as good as ever when he led all the way to win a trial by 5.5L back in early December.
He recently backed up that performance with a 2.3L trial win a week ago. It’s his one run in between those trial wins that has caused his big quote in the market when he finished 13 of 13 on this track. The genuine excuse for him there was the soft track. He gets back on a good here where his record reads 13:6-0-1.
The Kerrin McEvoy booking is a great indicator and it should be noted that he won this race last year when Jason Collett rode a kilo over the prescribed weight of 53kg. He only goes up to 54.5kg this year and if Quackerjack doesn’t take him on in front he could pinch some very cheap sectionals up on the pace.
Tip: 1 Unit Each Way Cradle Mountain @ $21/$4.2 With TopSport
Randwick Race 10 – 5 All Time Legend
All Time Legend is a boom horse that is 2 from 2 this preparation. Normally I don’t like to dive into horses on win streaks, as the handicapping system is designed to prevent them from continuing but this Les Bridge trained 4 yo gelding has a sense of something special about him.
He was dominant 1st up settling at the rear and roaring over the top of them to win by 2.5L. He was inconvenienced by a wide draw last start and McEvoy was forced to press forward and lead, a tactic Les Bridge was surprised by. He was still good enough to dig deep and hold on for a 0.5L victory over the talented Subedar.
From the inside draw today, McEvoy will have plenty of option where I can see him camping 3rd or 4th and producing a finish more like what we saw 1st up.
I can see this fella marking himself as a real lightweight contender in the Doncaster this autumn.
Tip: 3 Units Win All Time Legend @ $2.5 With TopSport
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