R25: Storm Vs Dolphins – Our Betting Insights & Bets

This will be the third NRL match between the Melbourne Storm and the Dolphins; the Storm have won each of their previous two meetings.

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Betting Insights

• This will be the third NRL match between the Melbourne Storm and the Dolphins; the Storm have won each of their previous two meetings, though each of those wins have come by margins of fewer than 10 points on the day (30-24 – Rd 16 2024 and 24-16 – Rd 12 2023).
• The Melbourne Storm have won their last three NRL matches against Queensland opposition, despite leading at halftime on the day in only one of those three games; the last time they recorded a longer winning run in such fixtures was a 25-match span from June 2017 to August 2021.
• The Melbourne Storm have won nine of their last 10 NRL matches (L1), including each of their last two; although, two of their last three games in that span have been decided by an exact margin of two points on the day.

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• The Melbourne Storm lost their most recent regular season NRL match at AAMI Park (16-18 v St George Illawarra Dragons – Rd 22 2024); they will be looking to avoid back-to-back regular season defeats in a single campaign at the venue for the first time since August 2019.
• The Dolphins have trailed at halftime on the day only once in their last nine NRL matches; they have gone on to win only three of those nine games (L6).
• The Dolphins have lost their last three NRL matches away from Suncorp Stadium, as many defeats as they logged across their nine games away from the venue prior to that span (W6 L3); they have trailed at halftime in only one of their last six such fixtures.
• Will Warbrick (Melbourne Storm) has alternated between scoring and not scoring a try across his last 10 NRL matches, failing to cross the try line in his most recent game (Rd 24 2024 v Penrith Panthers); he’s scored six tries and provided three try assists in that span.
• Jake Averillo (The Dolphins) has scored a try and provided a try assist in each of his last two NRL matches; he has been directly involved in five tries in his last four games against the Melbourne Storm (2 tries, 3 try assists).
• Ryan Papenhuyzen (Melbourne Storm) has been directly involved in 13 tries in his last nine NRL matches (7 tries, 6 try assists); he scored a try in his only game against The Dolphins (Rd 16 2024).
• Jamayne Isaako (The Dolphins) has scored three tries in his last two NRL matches against the Melbourne Storm, he is the only Dolphins player to have scored more than one try in games between the Dolphins and the Storm; he has scored two tries in his last three games overall.

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