Our Professional NBA Tips, Analysis & Staking Plan 9/9

5 years ago - Sportingbase

Season Results:

356 Wins / 239 Losses
+106.36 Units Of Profit
17.14% ROI

Heat vs Bucks 8:30am AEST

I’m certainly not his biggest fan, but the Bucks are going to need him out there for this one as another guy who can generate offence. He got up to 39 minutes in G4 (3.3 in OT). Expect Middleton to receive a ton of attention which should open things up for Bledsoe. His On/Off splits are pretty ridiculous without Giannis this season, receiving an 8.5% usage boost and posting a 27.8/7/8 per 36 line. Shot has been off and hasn’t really looked comfortable since returning so just taking the RA line as the base, but there are a few paths to some big scoring upside here so getting a little bit of exposure.

Bledsoe over 10.5 Rebounds + Assists @ 1.77 with Topsport – 1.2 units

Missed the better prices on this line last night, but looking around Topsport have left a decent enough price on the board for us to take. Bud has been raving about his playmaking abilities and rightly so, he’s made some brilliant plays in this series and fired some laser like passes. He had a crazy 108 touches last game, up from the 65.6 average over his previous 8. As mentioned above I wouldn’t be surprised to see Miami run some different coverages at him, and unlike a lot of smaller guards who get trapped and often get hockey assists, he has the height and audacity to fire some skip passes to the opposite wing/corner where guys can take shots. Going to play massive minutes again.

Middleton over 5.5 Assists @ 1.70 with Topsport – 1.75 units

Minutes play here. With Bucks going with a 4 guard line-up, it gives Robinson more chance to stay on the floor and we saw that in G4 with him getting up to 39 minutes in regulation. Had a beautiful line of 20/5/3 with 6 3 pointers. Benefits from this really good Miami offence and hasn’t had any issues getting his shot off with 28 3 point attempts over his last 3.

Robinson over 16.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.95 with TAB – 1 unit

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Lakers vs Rockets 11:00am AEST

Fouls limited him to 34 minutes in G2 but should see closer to 40 here as he has been so good for them. His rebounding has been great, with 9+ in each of his last 4 and he is a major beneficiary of the extra attention Harden is drawing. He’s had 14 open or wide open looks from 3 in this series, and his activity on the offensive glass earned him a few easy buckets in G2 where he finished with 18/11/2.