Our Professional NBA Tips, Analysis & Staking Plan 25/1

5 years ago - Sportingbase

Season Results:

99 Wins / 149 Losses
34.71 Units Profit
+24.00% ROI
View Results Spreadsheets

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Magic vs Hornets 11:10pm AEST

A couple of guys get nice boosts here with AG out, but Fournier is the guy I want to target today. He has looked great since returning from injury, with 24 & 26 points. He strangely missed 6 FTs in his most recent game so that 26 points could have easily been more. The dimes were a nice surprise and the Magic will continue to need some extra playmaking with Gordon out here. He did get a little lucky with 9 dimes from just 11 potentials, but he had a surprisingly large 5.0 minutes of touch time so Clifford is obviously comfortable putting the ball in his hands. There hasn’t been much of a sample this season as Fournier has missed so much time, but going back to last year Fournier got a 5.4% usage bump without AG and Fultz on the court up to 30.3% posting a 23.3/4.7/2.1 line. Gets a fine matchup against the Hornets who have the 19th ranked defence over the last 2 weeks.

Evan Fournier over 22.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.90 with B365 – 1.4 units
Evan Fournier over 24.5 Points @ 6.00 with TAB – 0.2 units
Evan Fournier over 29.5 Points @ 17.00 with TAB – 0.1 units
Evan Fournier over 6.5 Assists @ 7.00 with B365 – 0.2 units

Just not too sure what Clifford is going to do here in regard to the PG mins, but there is a chance Cole gets some extended burn if they opt to keep Bone out of the rotation which is a possibility. AG’s 5.8 mins of touch time over his last 5 has to go somewhere and Cole is quite ball dominant so he could have some upside here.

Cole Anthony over 7.5 Assists @ 6.50 with TAB – 0.1 units

Vooch does get a big boost without AG as well, up 6.4% last season and 5.8% this season but his lines are already quite high. Definitely want to have something on him if he does get going but Charlotte have been pretty good defending centres. Role too good to ignore though and we are getting a nice price.

Nikola Vucevic over 29.5 Points @ 4.25 with B365 – 0.3 units

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Staking Plan – 2.4 units out

Evan Fournier over 22.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.90 with B365 – 1.4 units
Evan Fournier over 24.5 Points @ 6.00 with TAB – 0.2 units
Evan Fournier over 29.5 Points @ 17.00 with TAB – 0.1 units
Evan Fournier over 6.5 Assists @ 7.00 with B365 – 0.2 units
Cole Anthony over 7.5 Assists @ 6.50 with TAB – 0.1 units
Nikola Vucevic over 29.5 Points @ 4.25 with B365 – 0.3 units
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