Our Black Book: Horses You Must Follow From Rosehill 14/9
1 year ago - Sportingbase
The replays and sectional times have been reviewed from Saturday’s Rosehill meeting and our analyst has found an emerging 3yo stayer that caught the eye at start 3 and a Godolphin grey that hasn’t missed a placing in 7 career starts.
Henlein
Henlein may of flown under the radar with his 2.9L 6th in the G3 Ming Dynasty. The Freedman 3yo was last out and settled between midfield and the rear. He closed off solidly inside of runners without threatening but there was a lot to like reading between the lines. His 33.63 final 600m was the 2nd fastest of the race, only beaten by China Sea sitting out the back doing no work.
I’d expect him to improve sharply with more racing and getting out in trip, particularly being a Dundeel Colt. The Listed Dulcify looks a likely next option but it’s 2000m to 2500m where I’m keen to bet up. He looks a great Victorian Derby type. He is a $14 chance in TopSport’s Derby Futures Market.
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Rediener
Last year’s Epsom winner returned from 48 week break with a nice effort in the G2 Theo Marks Stakes.The Waller 5yo sat 3 wide without cover just better than midfield for the trip. He was entitled to fade being 1st up from a long break but he stuck on nicely to finish 1.5L 4th and was safely holding Celestial Legend through the line.
I’ll prefer to watch him next start as horses coming off a long break can often digress 2nd up. Waller runner’s strike rate drops from 23% to 20% 2nd up. I think 3rd up will be where he likely targets the Epsom again where he is currently a $26 chance.
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