NBA Player Performance Service: Our Expert Selections – 2/11

Results:

• -7.63 Units Loss
• -20% ROI
• View Results Spreadsheets

Hornets vs Cavs 10:10am AEST

Perfect storm for Cedi today after seemingly coming out of nowhere for a 20 point, 6 3 ball explosion against the Suns on Sunday. Bickerstaff was super impressed with him after the game saying he’s definitely earned more minutes, and now with Love joining Okoro on the sidelines there’s plenty of wing minutes to soak up.  He might not be able to get up to 30 again but I’d expect him to get well into the 20s. Obviously not a huge sample with his limited playing time, so I’m including the PS too, and he’s 18-41 from 3 (44%) in 172 minutes. I like his Points like as well but think there’s a bit of extra value on the 3s agains the Hornets who give up the 3rd most 3 point attempts per game.

• Cedi Osman over 1.5 3 Pointers @ 2.50 with Topsport – 0.9 units
• Cedi Osman over 2.5 3 Pointers @ 4.80 with TAB – 0.1 units

Spurs vs Pacers 10:10am AEST

He’s really starting to get rolling now as the jumper is falling and the supporting stats are really coming through. He gets a really good matchup today against the struggling Pacers who have the 24th ranked defence on the season. The role is so good as he’s 5th in the league in touches, top 10 in drives, and 3rd in potential assists. He has this team running at the quickest pace off opponent misses, so I’m expecting a nice game environment against this bad defence. He’s averaging 35 PRA on the season, but he’s had 3 easy covers in a row averaging 42.0 in that span.

• Dejounte Murray over 32.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.83 with Topsport – 1 unit

Hawks vs Wizards 10:40am AEST

Big bounce back spot for JC today after the whole team got waxed by Philly. Wizards defence has been sooo focused on not giving up 3 pointers (which they have done a very good job at, with a league low 10.8 wide open 3s allowed per game) that they are just getting torched in the paint at a league worst 55.7 points per game. It’s a great matchup for Collins who was rolling before Sundays game covering this in 3 straight including a 28 points explosion against the Wizards just last week.

• John Collins over 15.5 Points @ 1.86 with B365 – 1 unit

Raptors vs Knicks 10:40am AEST

Scottie Barnes has been so so good this season and it’s just so clear watching the games how much he attracts the ball on both ends. While Pascal was out it was looking like OG was going to really crush, but with the emergence of Scottie’s offence some of that upside has been taken away. It’s admittedly not the best matchup, but this line barely budged after Scottie got ruled out and it’s right on his season average despite the opportunity that has opened up. Nurse has staggered them all season which has given us a nice sample of 73 minutes for OG without Scottie and he’s up at 21/8/4 per 36. I would not be surprised to see him get close to 40 if they can keep this one close.

• OG Anunoby over 25.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.80 with B365 – 1 unit

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Staking Plan – 4.0 units out

• Cedi Osman over 1.5 3 Pointers @ 2.50 with Topsport – 0.9 units
• Cedi Osman over 2.5 3 Pointers @ 4.80 with TAB – 0.1 units
• Dejounte Murray over 32.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.83 with Topsport – 1 unit
• John Collins over 15.5 Points @ 1.86 with B365 – 1 unit
• OG Anunoby over 25.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.80 with B365 – 1 unit

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