NBA Player Performance Service: Our Expert Selections – 14/12

4 years ago - Sportingbase

Results:

-9.20 Units Loss
-10% ROI
View Results Spreadsheets

Cavs vs Heat 11:10am AEST

Don’t think this is a great matchup for Vincent against the size of the Cavs and he may lose out some minutes to either Strus or Okpala. The raw numbers last game against the Bulls look good, where he had a nice 8/4/8 line in 30 minutes, but that game was done by 3QT and he took advantage playing the entire 4th quarter with 9 of his 20 PRA coming then. He still only managed to get up to 30 minutes in a much smaller matchup so I would imagine the only way he plays more than that is if he is going off (in which case we are toast anyway), but he could have a much lower floor if the game stays close. Heat are going to have to stay big at centre with either more Dedmon (decent spot purely based on minutes), or some Yurtseven and might not be able to get away with as many Tucker C lineups, which has a trickle effect on everyone and Vincent could get some minutes squeezed. Definite chance he doesn’t start.

Gabe Vincent UNDER 19.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.76 with B365 – 1.2 units

Hornets vs Mavericks 12:40pm AEST

Happy to go again on Brunson here after running very unlucky yesterday with 13 potentials and just 3 dimes. I didn’t mention it yesterday but he averaged 19.5 potentials in the 4 games Luka sat which is way more than needed for this line. Hornets give up the most assists per game in the league and the Mavs are back at home today.