NBA Player Performance Service: Our Expert Selections – 13/11

Just want to quickly mention to feel free to message me whenever with any queries about certain players or matchups as there’s a ton of information and leans etc that I don’t put in here.

Results:

• -7.10 Units Loss
• -17% ROI
• View Results Spreadsheets

Celtics vs Bucks 11:40am AEST

Went to script perfectly against Philly with him getting right up to 35 minutes as he comfortably did the job for us. Was an easy fade on the second night of the back to back, but am happy to come back to him now with a slight adjustment. He is 7-13 from deep over his last couple of games and he’s getting really good looks thanks to Giannis, with all 13 of those shots either being open or wide open. He has a clear green light and is shooting the ball full of confidence so I would expect him to get his shots up today in a pretty decent matchup for him. Celtics like to keep Robbie in the paint, so he should get quite a few pop opportunities. Should see big minutes again with the day off and we are getting a nice prices.

• Bobby Portis over 1.5 3 Pointers @ 2.15 with Topsport – 0.9 units
• Bobby Portis over 3.5 3 Pointers @ 13.00 with Sportsbet – 0.1 units

**Wrote this up before the Giannis news, the price come down a bit but I still like the play although it might look a little different. He probably won’t get the same quality corner looks created from Giannis, but expect a ton of Jrue/Portis PNR which should get him ample looks from above the break. So much extra usage to be soaked up.

Spurs vs Mavs 12:40pm AEST

He’s only covered this line 2/8 times this season, and gets a pretty tough matchup today against a Mavs side who give up the 6th fewest 3s per game. Doug isn’t just a shooter as he’s a very good cutter too, but for him to get over this line I’d expect it would to be from his 3 ball (he had 7 & 4 3s the two games he covered). He’s averaging just 13.6 PRA for the season and although the Spurs are a little limited in the front court he doesn’t really have the minutes upside as he’s so limited on the other end.

• Doug McDermott UNDER 16.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.80 with B365 – 1 unit

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Staking Plan – 3.1 units out

• Bobby Portis over 1.5 3 Pointers @ 2.15 with Topsport – 0.9 units
• Bobby Portis over 3.5 3 Pointers @ 13.00 with Sportsbet – 0.1 units
• Doug McDermott UNDER 16.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.80 with B365 – 1 unit
• Jordan Nwora over 10.5 Points @ 1.87 with Sportsbet – 1 unit
• Jordan Nwora over 19.5 Points @ 17.00 with Sportsbet – 0.1 unit

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