NBA

NBA: Dallas Mavericks Vs Detroit Pistons Preview, Analytics & Staking Strategy

6 years ago - Sportingbase

The Mavericks travel to Detroit full of confidence after winning four of their last five games while the Pistons will be looking to improve on their home record.

Dallas Mavericks

3rd in the Western Conference 16-7 ROAD (8-2)

Detroit Pistons

9th in the Eastern Conference 10-14 HOME (7-5)

The Mavericks travel to Detroit facing a Pistons squad that have won 4 of the last 5 games. With 50% of those games ATS. Dallas, on the other hand, lost their most recent game which put an end to their 5 game win streak. Detroit have won 3 of their last 5 games at home while Dallas boasts a current win streak of 4 on the road. The matchup will be interesting to see if Dallas can continue to display dominating performances on the road, facing Detroit team at home.

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Points Per Game

Dallas PPG AVG :118.00 compared to Detroit PPG AVG : 108.6
Dallas OPP PPG AVG : 108.3 compared to Detroit OPP PPG AVG : 108.3

While both teams are allowing the same opponent points per game on average of 108.30 the strengths and weakness can be seen by the PPG AVG. Dallas have a differential of +9.7 outscoring their opponents whereas Detroit have a differential of only +0.3.

Percentage Match-Ups

Detroit have covered their allocated line 45.83% of the time. (19th in the league) Dallas have covered their allocated line 60.87% of the time. (7th in the league)
Detroit have won 61.54% of their home games (17th in the league) Dallas have won 83.33% off their road games (3rd in the league)
Detroit have covered their allocated line at home 61.54% of the time. (7th in the league) Dallas have covered their allocated line on the road 80.00% of the time.(1st in the league)

Favourite / Underdog Stats

As a favourite Dallas has won 80% of their h2h games. As an underdog, Detroit has won 30.77% of their h2h games.
As a favourite Dallas has covered their allocated line 66.67% of the time as a – line. As an underdog, Detroit has covered their allocated 42.86% of the time as a + line.

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Betting Information

Dallas $1.45 Detroit $2.80

Line Dallas -5.00 $1.90 Detroit +5 $1.90

O/U O 220.5 $1.90 U 220.5 $1.90

Our Verdict

Dallas starts Friday’s game as a strong favourite at $1.45 compared to Detroit at $2.80. The line is set at +5/-5 each way. Dallas -5 @ $1.90 is the way we will play. Dallas are currently the No1 team in the NBA for covering the line on the road at 80% and their dominating PPG AVG of 118.00 looks to have Detroit beat. Having said that Detroit will not be completely out of the game they have shown on multiple occasions to fight till the end of the game. With Dallas playing their last game on Monday the extra rest and combined strengths of a fast-paced offensive unit, they look very good in what will be an interesting matchup for both teams. Dallas to extend their streak to 5 wins on the road.