NRL

FREE: State Of Origin Preview: Our Picks

4 years ago - Sportingbase

State Of Origin is here and our team has put together their preview which supplies you with everything from insights to our picks for game 1.

NEW SOUTH WALES BLUES VS QUEENSLAND MAROONS – WEDNESDAY JUNE 8th, 8:10PM, ACCOR

Blues coach Brad Fittler has handed debuts to Kotoni Staggs, Ryan Matterson and Stephen Crichton while Jeremiah Nanai, Reuben Cotter, Selwyn Cobbo and Patrick Carrigan will all get their first taste of Origin footy for Queensland.

Queensland has new faces but few surprises. Debutants Selwyn Cobbo, Reuben Cotter, Jeremiah Nanai and Patrick Carrigan demanded selection. Virtually every other Maroon has proven themselves at Origin level.

Kalyn Ponga may have had a scratchy start to 2022, but Cam Munster and Daly Cherry-Evans are in peak form. Ben Hunt’s selection at hooker is an interesting one, but Harry Grant is an explosive proposition off the bench.

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Recent Matchups

NSW has won the last three Sydney-hosted Origins. The most recent clash, the Blues’ 34-10 blowout victory during the unique 2020 series, was the first at ANZ (now Accor) Stadium decided by more than 10 points since 2004 – a run of 19 tight games. Twelve of those featured margins of five or less.

Match Points

The last two Sydney showdowns also produced totals of 44-plus; the previous 10 saw a maximum of 34 points scored, with five witnessing totals of 22 or less. The total line is set at a low 36.5 points but the under still looks to be the play with 11 of the last 16 Origins overall producing 34 or less.

Our Pick: Over 36.5 Match Points @ $1.93 – BET HERE

First & Anytime Try Scorer

Valentine Holmes has been the first try-scorer in five of his 10 previous Origin appearances – $16 – BET HERE
Josh Papalii has scored a try in each of the last two Origin matches at Accor Stadium – $9 – BET HERE
Daniel Tupou has scored a try in each of his last two Origin appearances – $2.12 – BET HERE
James Tedesco has scored at least one try in each of the last two Origin matches at Accor Stadium – $2.80 – BET HERE
Katoni Staggs looks great value and will have a point to prove on debut – $3 BET HERE

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