NFL

2021 NFL Week 7 Preview: Our Expert Tips & Staking Plan

4 years ago - Sportingbase

Week 7 is a tough one in the NFL. A number of big, big favourites that I do not want to touch. We still have plenty of games to play though and we can get back to a big winning week.

I will likely be adding some more picks before the games so make sure to check back.

Season to date

Premium picks:

Profit/Loss: -0.95 units
ROI: -1%
Strike rate: 45%

Overall:

Profit/Loss: -5.29 units
ROI: -5%
Strike rate: 43%

Atlanta Falcons @ Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins have taken the rare choice of not taking their bye after travelling to London, but it could work out here as they get a chance to bounce right back. They actually played pretty well in that game but some poor decisions left them to fall behind. They can get a win here at home as underdogs.

2 units Dolphins +2.5 1.86 with TopSport

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Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens are rolling right now, but I still do not quite buy it. The Bengals have gone under the radar but they have made an excellent start here and they can get an important win over their divisional rivals here. They are hefty underdogs but I believe they can win this one outright. Joe Burrow seemingly gets better with each game.

2 units Bengals +6.5 2.0 with TopSport
1 unit Bengals moneyline 3.4 with TopSport
1 unit Joe Burrow over 262.5 passing yards 1.88 with Ladbrokes
1 unit Joe Burrow 2+ Touchdown passes 1.90 with Ladbrokes

Kansas City Chiefs @ Tennessee Titans

I am leaning the Chiefs on this one but unless there is some line movement I am staying away. Instead I am looking at the total. For me, the Titans need to slow this one down and run the ball all game long to have a shot. And the game has a huge total. Both can score quickly but I just see the game playing out in a different fashion.

2 units Chiefs/Titans under 57.5 points 1.90 with TopSport

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New Orleans Saints @ Seattle Seahawks

Both teams have underwhelmed this season, but even without Russell Wilson I think the Seahawks can keep this one close. They have a lot of receiving talent that can make things happen and the Saints just have not been the free flowing offence that some thought they might be.

2 units Seahawks +5 1.83 with TopSport
1 unit Seahawks moneyline 2.88 with TopSport

New York Jets @ New England Patriots

You will all know by now how I feel about the New England Patriots. They are overrated based on past achievements and the offence is just so uninteresting. I will continue to back against them in any game where they are giving up this many points. The Jets have been better than their results may show, for me. The defence has been fairly good and the offence should improve as it gets healthier.